Paper

Walsh K, McGovern DP, Dully J, Kelly SP, O'Connell RG. Prior probability cues bias sensory encoding with increasing task exposure. eLife 12:RP91135, 2024.

Notes

Source paper for the human visual contrast prior-cue slice. Stratification is by cue context (invalid / neutral / valid); each gets its own pooled finding. The OSF "1. Behavioural Analysis.mat" file carries 66,200 processed behavioural rows that the slice harmonizes; psychometric_summary.csv is the per-cue-context aggregate. Per-observer × per-cue findings (12 observers × 3 cues = 36) are extracted from the harmonized trials with min_points=2 so subject J's sparse two-level coverage stays included; the audit-findings command verifies that the n-weighted aggregate of these subject curves recovers each pooled cue curve to numerical precision.

Curves on shared axes

Findings extracted from this paper, plotted alongside one another.

Compare to the rest of the literature on /findings.

Findings

Finding Curve Species Source level Stratification Points Fits
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.chronometric.cue-invalid chronometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 19
  • chronometric-constant-rt AIC=15.6
  • chronometric-hyperbolic-rt AIC=19.6
  • ddm-drift-bias AIC=13336.6
  • ddm-starting-point-bias AIC=13336.5
  • ddm-vanilla AIC=15301.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.chronometric.cue-neutral chronometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 19
  • chronometric-constant-rt AIC=13.9
  • chronometric-hyperbolic-rt AIC=17.9
  • ddm-drift-bias AIC=11523.4
  • ddm-starting-point-bias AIC=11569.4
  • ddm-vanilla AIC=13667.9
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.chronometric.cue-valid chronometric human processed-trial cue=valid 19
  • chronometric-constant-rt AIC=18.8
  • chronometric-hyperbolic-rt AIC=22.8
  • ddm-drift-bias AIC=34956.2
  • ddm-starting-point-bias AIC=34872.2
  • ddm-vanilla AIC=37864.9
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.cue-invalid psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 38
  • ddm-drift-bias AIC=13336.6
  • ddm-starting-point-bias AIC=13336.5
  • ddm-vanilla AIC=15301.0
  • logistic-4param AIC=13317.6
  • sdt-2afc AIC=13313.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.cue-neutral psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 38
  • ddm-drift-bias AIC=11523.4
  • ddm-starting-point-bias AIC=11569.4
  • ddm-vanilla AIC=13667.9
  • logistic-4param AIC=11393.3
  • sdt-2afc AIC=11525.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.cue-valid psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 38
  • ddm-drift-bias AIC=34956.2
  • ddm-starting-point-bias AIC=34872.2
  • ddm-vanilla AIC=37864.9
  • logistic-4param AIC=31831.8
  • sdt-2afc AIC=35466.1
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-a psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1237.5
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1232.7
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-b psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1382.8
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1376.1
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-c psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=840.9
  • sdt-2afc AIC=838.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-d psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=929.5
  • sdt-2afc AIC=923.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-e psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1063.3
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1056.2
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-f psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 12
  • logistic-4param AIC=1237.0
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1249.5
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-g psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1230.3
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1220.1
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-h psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=1226.4
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1219.6
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-i psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=913.4
  • sdt-2afc AIC=922.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-j psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 2
  • logistic-4param AIC=494.1
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2449.3
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-k psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 6
  • logistic-4param AIC=852.9
  • sdt-2afc AIC=848.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-invalid.subject-l psychometric human processed-trial cue=invalid 4
  • logistic-4param AIC=1115.9
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1086.6
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-a psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1112.3
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1108.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-b psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1155.3
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1155.6
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-c psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=718.6
  • sdt-2afc AIC=714.6
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-d psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=936.4
  • sdt-2afc AIC=934.1
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-e psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=996.8
  • sdt-2afc AIC=992.8
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-f psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 12
  • logistic-4param AIC=963.1
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1022.3
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-g psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=1144.5
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1144.6
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-h psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=899.4
  • sdt-2afc AIC=904.8
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-i psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=762.2
  • sdt-2afc AIC=797.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-j psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 2
  • logistic-4param AIC=522.7
  • sdt-2afc AIC=518.7
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-k psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 6
  • logistic-4param AIC=760.6
  • sdt-2afc AIC=773.2
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-neutral.subject-l psychometric human processed-trial cue=neutral 4
  • logistic-4param AIC=880.7
  • sdt-2afc AIC=876.5
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-a psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=3304.1
  • sdt-2afc AIC=3360.2
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-b psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=2170.0
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2256.3
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-c psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=2617.7
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2648.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-d psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=3065.6
  • sdt-2afc AIC=3068.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-e psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=2073.7
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2129.9
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-f psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 12
  • logistic-4param AIC=1699.6
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2634.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-g psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 10
  • logistic-4param AIC=3835.7
  • sdt-2afc AIC=4055.8
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-h psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=2070.1
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2839.5
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-i psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 8
  • logistic-4param AIC=2252.7
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2528.3
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-j psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 2
  • logistic-4param AIC=1585.4
  • sdt-2afc AIC=1581.4
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-k psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 6
  • logistic-4param AIC=2746.1
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2870.9
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.subject.cue-valid.subject-l psychometric human processed-trial cue=valid 4
  • logistic-4param AIC=2329.6
  • sdt-2afc AIC=2339.6

Fit parameters

Per-finding fits committed alongside this paper. Parameters, log-likelihood, AIC, and BIC for each variant. Click the finding id for residuals, model-selection winner, and provenance.

finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.chronometric.cue-invalid cue=invalid
Variant Parameters logL AIC BIC
chronometric-constant-rt rt_level=0.913 -6.8 15.6 16.6
chronometric-hyperbolic-rt half_saturation_strength=13.812 · rt_floor=0.913 · rt_span=0.000 -6.8 19.6 22.5
ddm-drift-bias boundary=0.703 · drift_bias=1.244 · drift_per_unit_evidence=5.01e-3 · non_decision_time=0.745 -6664.3 13336.6 13365.8
ddm-starting-point-bias boundary=0.764 · drift_per_unit_evidence=4.59e-3 · non_decision_time=0.649 · starting_point=0.706 -6664.2 13336.5 13365.7
ddm-vanilla boundary=1.00e-3 · drift_per_unit_evidence=1.00e-6 · non_decision_time=0.745 -7647.5 15301.0 15322.9
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.chronometric.cue-neutral cue=neutral
Variant Parameters logL AIC BIC
chronometric-constant-rt rt_level=0.885 -5.9 13.9 14.8
chronometric-hyperbolic-rt half_saturation_strength=13.938 · rt_floor=0.885 · rt_span=0.000 -5.9 17.9 20.7
ddm-drift-bias boundary=0.835 · drift_bias=1.245 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.088 · non_decision_time=0.705 -5757.7 11523.4 11552.6
ddm-starting-point-bias boundary=0.668 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.107 · non_decision_time=0.705 · starting_point=0.723 -5780.7 11569.4 11598.6
ddm-vanilla boundary=0.656 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.090 · non_decision_time=0.705 -6831.0 13667.9 13689.8
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.chronometric.cue-valid cue=valid
Variant Parameters logL AIC BIC
chronometric-constant-rt rt_level=0.849 -8.4 18.8 19.8
chronometric-hyperbolic-rt half_saturation_strength=13.947 · rt_floor=0.849 · rt_span=0.000 -8.4 22.8 25.6
ddm-drift-bias boundary=0.896 · drift_bias=0.834 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.169 · non_decision_time=0.680 -17474.1 34956.2 34990.9
ddm-starting-point-bias boundary=0.763 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.204 · non_decision_time=0.680 · starting_point=0.651 -17432.1 34872.2 34906.9
ddm-vanilla boundary=0.747 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.186 · non_decision_time=0.680 -18929.5 37864.9 37891.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.cue-invalid cue=invalid
Variant Parameters logL AIC BIC
ddm-drift-bias boundary=0.703 · drift_bias=1.244 · drift_per_unit_evidence=5.01e-3 · non_decision_time=0.745 -6664.3 13336.6 13365.8
ddm-starting-point-bias boundary=0.764 · drift_per_unit_evidence=4.59e-3 · non_decision_time=0.649 · starting_point=0.706 -6664.2 13336.5 13365.7
ddm-vanilla boundary=1.00e-3 · drift_per_unit_evidence=1.00e-6 · non_decision_time=0.745 -7647.5 15301.0 15322.9
logistic-4param bias=-28.000 · lower_lapse=0.484 · slope=140.362 · upper_lapse=0.112 -6654.8 13317.6 13346.8
sdt-2afc criterion=-0.541 · d_prime=2.15e-3 -6654.7 13313.4 13328.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.cue-neutral cue=neutral
Variant Parameters logL AIC BIC
ddm-drift-bias boundary=0.835 · drift_bias=1.245 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.088 · non_decision_time=0.705 -5757.7 11523.4 11552.6
ddm-starting-point-bias boundary=0.668 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.107 · non_decision_time=0.705 · starting_point=0.723 -5780.7 11569.4 11598.6
ddm-vanilla boundary=0.656 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.090 · non_decision_time=0.705 -6831.0 13667.9 13689.8
logistic-4param bias=-11.449 · lower_lapse=0.211 · slope=6.092 · upper_lapse=0.111 -5692.6 11393.3 11422.5
sdt-2afc criterion=-0.609 · d_prime=0.042 -5760.7 11525.4 11540.0
finding.walsh-2024-prior-cue.psychometric.cue-valid cue=valid
Variant Parameters logL AIC BIC
ddm-drift-bias boundary=0.896 · drift_bias=0.834 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.169 · non_decision_time=0.680 -17474.1 34956.2 34990.9
ddm-starting-point-bias boundary=0.763 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.204 · non_decision_time=0.680 · starting_point=0.651 -17432.1 34872.2 34906.9
ddm-vanilla boundary=0.747 · drift_per_unit_evidence=0.186 · non_decision_time=0.680 -18929.5 37864.9 37891.0
logistic-4param bias=-1.713 · lower_lapse=0.221 · slope=1.179 · upper_lapse=0.049 -15911.9 31831.8 31866.6
sdt-2afc criterion=-0.406 · d_prime=0.084 -17731.0 35466.1 35483.5